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October 2007
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Edwards at Change to Win

John Edwards took stage and off top mentioned that Elizabeth Edwards was walking a picket line with UAW strikers in Michigan today.

He told some anecdotal stories of workers fighting for their union rights. He got a couple standing ovations with lines like "We are with you every step of the way and I will be with you every step of the way. When I am president of the US, I will stand with you, I will walk the pickett line with you, I will make sure that america hears your voice, you will not be forgotten." (7mins in)

Edwards is arguably the candidate with the most riding on union support - several applause lines about how he'll always support unions: "I have walked pickett lines, I have been in hunger strikes, I have been in organizing campaigns with over 23 natl unions including every single union represented in this room today. It is not an accident." (11mins in) And shortly after: "I want to be the greatest union president in the history of the united states of america."

And in a line that sounded very similar to Obama's earlier speech:

"How many times have you had politicians come in front of you when it's election time, right. They come in front of you, they want your support and then when the campaign begins, the word union gets stuck in their throat."

Edwards took question on healthcare and compared his plan vs the other candidates appearing at event today... Saying two plans are universal and the other one isn't. He took a further veiled jab at Hillary on health care "we had a disaster in the early 90s trying to get healthcare passed. When I propose universal healthcare, I will never pull the bill... I will stand behind it and do whatever I have to to get it passed." He later added that the audience still has time to ask the other candidate here today about health care plan (Hillary is scheduled up next).

Edwards final gesture before leaving stage was to sign large billboard with title "Make American Dream a Reality 2008."

Created: 9/25/2007 6:18:31 PM; Modified: 9/25/2007 6:18:31 PM

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Obama at the Change to Win Coalition Conf

Barack Obama entered the ballroom at the Hilton Hotel in Chicago to a standing applause after an intro by a local Illinois SEIU leader.

Lot of focus on his community organizer background, with an oblique dig at his opponents at the top of speech: "I didn't just discover working folks on the campaign trial, I have been doing it my whole life."

He said the US needs a president who doesn't choke when saying "union" -- and got a standing ovation for his pledge to always stand by the unions: "my union folks in Illinois already know, I've walked the picket lines before... If it's hot outside, I got a hat. If it's cold outside I got a jacket.. I don't care if I'm in the US senate or the WH, I will make sure I stand with you.."

Addressing experience issue in his terms: "I understand I may not have the experience washington likes, but I have the experience that American needs right now."

Obama responded to an audience question saying "everyone talks an aweful lot about unions when they want to get union endorsements and then the general election comes, and there's no talk of unions."

Created: 9/25/2007 3:44:29 PM; Modified: 9/25/2007 3:44:29 PM

FL Dems Get Ready to Sue DNC

Florida Democrats are readying for a fight with the DNC, after they announced that they'll choose their delegates on January 29th regardless of DNC rules barring states other than NH, IA, NV, and SC from voting before Feb 5th.
 
DNC chairman Howard Dean sent the Florida delegation, including Senator Bill Nelson and Rep Alcee Hastings, a letter dismissing their complaint about the rules, and once again stressing the DNC's Sept 29th deadline for a new solution that would have Florida moving out of January. If it doesn't, it forfeits all its delegates to the nominating convention in Denver next August.
 
Nelson released a statement, saying “we’re disappointed in Governor Dean's response. He’s rejected at least three compromise solutions. Now there is no choice. I’m preparing a lawsuit.”
Created: 9/25/2007 1:41:14 PM; Modified: 9/25/2007 1:41:14 PM

Romney Tops MI Straw Poll

Mitt Romney won the MI GOP Leadership Conference straw poll with 39% of the 972 votes cast. John McCain finished second with about 27% and Ron Paul finished third with 10%.

No surprise in the winner... Romney is the native son, and like he has with other straw polls, turned out the vote here -- making sure he had the most volunteers and biggest campaign presence on the island. The GOP establishment in the state, represented well at the caucus, is obviously behind him.

McCains strong finish shouldn't be too big a surprise either.He did win MI in 2000, and while he didn't have a ton of people up here, he had enough. He organized a rally friday night, and had media availabilities and well attended events Saturday during the day. There was some palpable enthusiasm for McCain even before his well delivered speech -- although because he held his rallies at the closest sports bar/pub to the hotel, its hard to tell whether folks were excited about the Senator or about football and beer.

Rudy Giuliani dropped in and took off right after his speech, no real presence here so no surprise that he didn't finish in the top three -- though he did finish only a handful of votes behind Paul. Fred Thompson spent more time working the crowds and media, and spoke late saturday so he didn't even have a chance to turn off potential voters with his lackluster speech. But he didn't have many/any volunteers here, no real presence to speak of, and if there's one thing we've learned in straw poll season, its that he who spends the most wins.

Created: 9/24/2007 6:57:59 PM; Modified: 9/24/2007 6:57:59 PM

Politics of "Betray Us"

Republicans are stepping up their counterattack on Iraq war critics -- and launching a sustained barrage on the liberal group MoveOn.org's full page New York Times ad accusing General Petraeus of misrepresenting the situation in Iraq and betraying Americans.

Yesterday, John McCain asked an Iowa audience to put pressure on the groups behind the ad. "I hope you will tell the liberal Democrats and this organization which is called moveon.org that that is not acceptable in America today," he said. "That kind of treatement of an American hero is totally unacceptable and disgraceful."

As part of Rudy Giuliani's strategy of running as the presumed Republican nominee, his instinct is always to bash Democrats as weak on national security. Today, rudy called on the NY Times to give his campaign the same discounted rate it reportedly gave MoveOn.org for the Betray Us ad in order to run a pro-Petraeus ad tomorrow morning -- and he bashed Hillary Clinton for her questioning of the general on Tuesday, when she said accepting his testimony required a "willing suspension of disbelief."
 
"I imagine means saying that the general wasn’t telling the truth," he said. "And I believe that in a time of war, with a general about whom there is no question about the general’s integrity -- I agree with success that he’s had, and I think we should support that success." He called Clinton's accusation -- and MoveOn's ad -- "character assassination," and said Clinton, MoveOn, and the New York Times should apologize.
 
And in Florida, Fred Thompson complained that "General Petreaus is met, that brave leader who's leading our troops over there, when he comes home he's met with full page ad in the NY Times put on by Moveon.org -- which basically funds Dem Party -- calling him a traitor in effect and getting a discount!" At the mention of the Times, the crowd broke into boos.
 
So far, the Democratic frontrunners have refused to condemn the attack ad. In a Yahoo.com online forum, Hillary dodged a specific question about whether the ad was necessary or appropriate this way. "I think we should focus on what the problem is here. The problem is a president who has a policy that flies in the face of reality," she said. 
 
"I dont fault people who are serving their country and fulfilling the mission that they have been given. Both the general and the ambassador were there implementing the presidents policy, and I think we should remain focused on this president and getting Republican support to force the president to change course."
 
Barack Obama also stopped short of condemning the ad. "I am less interested in the motives or what General Petraeus or Ambassador Crocker are responsible for than what the president is responsible for, and that is the mission that has been assigned to those people. And i think the mission is the failure," he said.

John Edwards at first pleaded ignorance, saying "I am sorry, I just havent seen it so it is very hard for me to comment on it."

But that didn't stop him from taking the MoveOn attack on General Petraeus's motives and applying it to the commander in chief. Edwards said "I think anything that comes through the administration and the White House has a PR spin on it. That's been true through the entire war, and its one of the reasons that the American people have lost faith in this president."

Created: 9/14/2007 10:45:29 AM; Modified: 9/14/2007 10:45:29 AM

McCain's No Surrender Tour Gets Lost

McCain arrived about an hour and a half late for a speech at a packed VFW hall in Des Moines (his bus got lost and he also had an unscheduled campaign stop in Atlantic on the way.) McCain seemed a little more energized compared to this morning's event in Council Bluffs. He also encorporated a few newer lines into his speech here:

On bin Laden: (repeating what he said on the morning shows) "As president of the US, I will get him, I will bring Bin Laden to justice."

On Hillary and Iraq:

"(Yesterday) Sen Clinton said Gen. Petraeus' evaluation was a quote, unquote 'willing suspension of disbelief'... What's a willing suspension of disbelief is that Sen. Clinton thinks that she knows more than Gen. Petraeus does about this."

On Petraeus MoveOn.org ad in the NY Times: "We call on every single Democratic candidate running for president of the US to renounce and denounce this ad."

And adding later: "what is another suspension of disbelief is anyone who intends to lead this nation who refuses to renounce and denounce an advertisement that's an attack on the personal honor and dignity of one of the greatest Americans serving this country with diginity and honor and that's Gen. Petraeus." He drove the point home by saying virtually the same thing in his media availability after the speech.

Created: 9/12/2007 7:42:17 PM; Modified: 9/12/2007 7:42:17 PM

On McCain's "No Surrender" Tour

From Iowa Producer Yolanda Maggi:
Sen. John McCain continued his "No Surrender" tour this morning with a stop at a VFW Hall in Council Bluffs, Iowa. Introduced by fellow Vietnam vet and POW, Col Bud Day, McCain was flanked by other veterans on stage as he spoke to a small, mostly elderly crowd of about 60 people. McCain seemed at ease with his setting, giving less of a structured campaign speech and telling several anecdotal stories of his wartime and political experiences.
 
McCain’s "No Surrender" tour was timed to coincide with the Capitol Hill debate on the effectiveness of the Iraq war surge and his rhetoric today reflected that: "We need to make our case that this conflict has been badly mismanaged, we suffered enormous loses, Americans are frustrated and angry and saddened by the sacrifices they made. But we do have a new strategy and a new general and we are succeeding and we ought to give it chance to succeed." Later he added, "According to Gen. Petraeus yesterday, we have achieved enough success with this surge that we can bring troops back down to the level it was before the surge began…. We have a great deal at stake and I do believe if we leave there will be chaos and civil war in the region and we will be back."
 
McCain criticized the NYT ad titled "General Petraeus or Gen Betray Us" for disparaging the general’s honor and integrity and called on his audience to condemn this ad and to tell moveon.org that this is unacceptable. He said that the political dialogue has taken a nasty turn and it should never disparage the patriotism of Americans serving their country.
 
During the press avail, I asked him for his thoughts on Obama making speech in the state about Iraq today: "(I have not heard what’s in his speech today, I have heard many of his other speeches.) I respect his views, but I think they are dead wrong and dangerous for the future of the country. I think we have to have the strategy succeed, that Al Quaeda will be defeated and the government function effectively in Iraq and that we have a secure environment… He’ll have I’m sure some plan for withdrawal without regard for the situation in Iraq. I respect it, but I strongly disagree and think it would be terribly dangerous for the future of this nation."
Created: 9/12/2007 2:59:29 PM; Modified: 9/12/2007 2:59:29 PM

Frontrunner Nuggets

--The Clinton Campaign doesn't seem too worried about the Norman Hsu scandal. Top finance authorities with the campaign say Hsu was a one-time problem, saying they've checked everyone else out and don't anticipate any further surprises. What's more, they say giving back the $850K may hurt, but "we're not going to go out of business because of it."
 
--The Giuliani campaign is working on TV ads. Look for spots to go up in the next couple of weeks.
Created: 9/11/2007 7:46:48 PM; Modified: 9/11/2007 7:46:48 PM

Dems Debate in Spanish

...sort of. All the questions were in Spanish and translated for the candidates, but the answers had to be in English and translated for the Spanish-speaking audience at the Univision-sponsored Democratic presidential debate at the university of Miami.

The democratic candidates -- all except for Joe Biden, who was not in attendance -- wore earpieces to get a translation of the questions. Then their answers were simultaneously translated into Spanish for viewers. Even when New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, who is of Mexican heritage, wanted to answer in Spanish, he was told he could not.
 
Univision also invited the Republican presidential candidates to take part in a Spanish-language debate next Sunday. All cited scheduling conflicts except for Senator John McCain. And there may be an obvious reason for that. "All Republican candidates but John McCain, who did receive the invitation, have been opposed to the comprehensive immigration bill that President Bush pushed for, that most Democrats in the senate voted for, but most Republicans were opposed to," said US News & World Report political analyst Michael Barone. "I think they expect that if they go on Univision, they are going to get a lot of hostile questions along that way. And there's no way they can come out of those debates as winners."
 
At the debate, candidates were asked if the US should have a border wall with Canada... and if they are committed to immigration reform. They answered broadly. Senator Clinton said "I have championed comprehensive immigration reform and it includes starting with securing our borders." Senator Obama said "it means that we provide a pathway to citizenship for the 12 million undocumented workers who are already here."

Nationally, hispanics make up about 8-percent of the voting public. In presidential elections, hispanics -- except for Cuban-Americans -- tend to vote for the Democratic candidate, although President Bush did begin to make some inroads into that constituency in the past 2 elections.

In 2000, 62% of hispanics voted for Vice President Al Gore...35% for then-Governor George Bush. In 2004, Sen John Kerry got 53% of the hispanic vote, and President Bush - 44% -- up 9% from 2000 and the highest percentage ever for a Republican candidate. GOP candidates may not be able to count on that kind of support this time because of the immigration issue.

Even more of a reason, media analyst Marvin Kalb says, to participate in a Spanish-language debate. "It's going to take somebody who has the political courage saying look, I may not agree with you on immigration but I'm your guy on all of the other issues, so vote with me. But the Republicans... That's why i think they made a blunder here."

But Michael Barone says the GOP candidates would have had to walk a tightrope in a Univision debate, trying not to alienate hispanic voters, who tend to favor a quick path to citizenship for illegals -- while also trying not alienate the Republican base, which tends to be much more concerned with border security than in legalizing illegals.

Created: 9/10/2007 6:26:20 PM; Modified: 9/10/2007 6:26:20 PM

Dems Debate in Spanish

...sort of. All the questions were in Spanish and translated for the candidates, but the answers had to be in English and translated for the Spanish-speaking audience at the Univision-sponsored Democratic presidential debate at the university of Miami.

The democratic candidates -- all except for Joe Biden, who was not in attendance -- wore earpieces to get a translation of the questions. Then their answers were simultaneously translated into Spanish for viewers. Even when New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, who is of Mexican heritage, wanted to answer in Spanish, he was told he could not.
 
Univision also invited the Republican presidential candidates to take part in a Spanish-language debate next Sunday. All cited scheduling conflicts except for Senator John McCain. And there may be an obvious reason for that. "All Republican candidates but John McCain, who did receive the invitation, have been opposed to the comprehensive immigration bill that President Bush pushed for, that most Democrats in the senate voted for, but most Republicans were opposed to," said US News & World Report political analyst Michael Barone. "I think they expect that if they go on Univision, they are going to get a lot of hostile questions along that way. And there's no way they can come out of those debates as winners."
 
At the debate, candidates were asked if the US should have a border wall with Canada... and if they are committed to immigration reform. They answered broadly. Senator Clinton said "I have championed comprehensive immigration reform and it includes starting with securing our borders." Senator Obama said "it means that we provide a pathway to citizenship for the 12 million undocumented workers who are already here."

Nationally, hispanics make up about 8-percent of the voting public. In presidential elections, hispanics -- except for Cuban-Americans -- tend to vote for the Democratic candidate, although President Bush did begin to make some inroads into that constituency in the past 2 elections.

In 2000, 62% of hispanics voted for Vice President Al Gore...35% for then-Governor George Bush. In 2004, Sen John Kerry got 53% of the hispanic vote, and President Bush - 44% -- up 9% from 2000 and the highest percentage ever for a Republican candidate. GOP candidates may not be able to count on that kind of support this time because of the immigration issue.

Even more of a reason, one media analyst says, to participate in a spanish-language debate. "It's going to take somebody who has the political courage saying look, I may not agree with you on immigration but I'm your guy on all of the other issues, so vote with me. But the Republicans... That's why i think they made a blunder here."

But Michael Barone says the GOP candidates would have had to walk a tightrope in a Univision debate, trying not to alienate hispanic voters, who tend to favor a quick path to citizenship for illegals -- while also trying not alienate the Republican base, which tends to be much more concerned with border security than in legalizing illegals.

Created: 9/10/2007 6:15:15 PM; Modified: 9/10/2007 6:15:15 PM

Thompson Ad to Air on FOX Tonight

... but not during the GOP Primary Debate in New Hampshire. Thompson's ad, called "Debate," will actually air in the last ad block of the O'Reilly Factor, just before the debate begins at 9pm.
 
The ad features Fred addressing the camera directly, with an American flag over his right shoulder. Here's the transcript:

DEBATE

"I'm Fred Thompson and I approved this message.

"On the next president's watch, our country will make decisions that will affect our lives and our families far into the future.

"We can't allow ourselves to become a weaker, less prosperous and more divided nation.

"Today, as before, the fate of millions across the world depends on the unity and resolve of the American people.

"I talk about this tomorrow on Fred08.com. I invite you to take a look and join us."

ANNOUNCER: Fred Thompson: Republican for President

Created: 9/5/2007 11:14:09 AM; Modified: 9/5/2007 11:14:09 AM

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